Thermal wind forecast for Walchensee

Will the thermal wind kick in at Walchensee today?

For today, Sep 18, 2026

NO GO

100% daytime cloud + only 219 W/m² solar — no insolation to drive a thermal

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0.3 kt now
gust 1.6 kt
water 17.9 °C
⌀ 3.0 kt last-hour average → steady
13:08
81108:1613:0808:16 · avg 0.9 kt · gust 3.2 kt08:42 · avg 1.9 kt · gust 3.2 kt09:09 · avg 0.0 kt · gust 0.0 kt09:10 · avg 0.0 kt · gust 0.0 kt09:49 · avg 0.9 kt · gust 3.2 kt10:33 · avg 0.0 kt · gust 0.0 kt11:09 · avg 0.1 kt · gust 1.6 kt11:19 · avg 0.9 kt · gust 2.2 kt11:29 · avg 1.5 kt · gust 2.2 kt11:39 · avg 1.6 kt · gust 3.2 kt11:49 · avg 4.9 kt · gust 8.6 kt11:59 · avg 5.5 kt · gust 8.6 kt12:09 · avg 5.5 kt · gust 7.6 kt12:15 · avg 5.5 kt · gust 7.6 kt12:59 · avg 0.5 kt · gust 1.6 kt13:08 · avg 0.3 kt · gust 1.6 kt
avg wind gust ignition (8 kt) session (11 kt)
🤖 ML — logistic experimental NO GO GO 12% · MAYBE 33% · NO GO 55%

Strongest inputs — (+) dew-point spread; (−) morning solar, pressure Δ (thermik).

🤖 ML — HGB · black box experimental NO GO GO 24% · MAYBE 12% · NO GO 65%

Most distinctive inputs: morning solar, daytime cloud, Innsbruck pressure.

Experimental shadow models — they never drive the verdict. How good are they? →

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