Walchi Oracle

Will the thermal wind kick in at Walchensee today?

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4.9 kt now
gust 6.5 kt
βŒ€ 11.1 kt last-hour average β†˜ dropping
19:06
81113:0919:0613:09 Β· avg 3.6 kt Β· gust 10.8 kt13:19 Β· avg 4.5 kt Β· gust 10.3 kt13:29 Β· avg 8.8 kt Β· gust 13.5 kt13:39 Β· avg 6.5 kt Β· gust 10.8 kt13:49 Β· avg 4.6 kt Β· gust 8.6 kt13:59 Β· avg 3.6 kt Β· gust 7.6 kt14:09 Β· avg 3.6 kt Β· gust 7.6 kt14:19 Β· avg 2.9 kt Β· gust 9.2 kt14:29 Β· avg 11.8 kt Β· gust 17.3 kt14:39 Β· avg 9.4 kt Β· gust 16.2 kt14:49 Β· avg 3.7 kt Β· gust 6.5 kt14:59 Β· avg 4.1 kt Β· gust 7.6 kt15:09 Β· avg 0.9 kt Β· gust 4.3 kt15:19 Β· avg 4.2 kt Β· gust 9.2 kt15:29 Β· avg 3.4 kt Β· gust 8.6 kt15:39 Β· avg 4.8 kt Β· gust 8.6 kt15:49 Β· avg 3.9 kt Β· gust 7.6 kt15:59 Β· avg 2.1 kt Β· gust 6.5 kt16:09 Β· avg 5.0 kt Β· gust 9.2 kt16:19 Β· avg 7.4 kt Β· gust 13.0 kt16:29 Β· avg 11.7 kt Β· gust 22.1 kt16:39 Β· avg 10.2 kt Β· gust 23.2 kt16:49 Β· avg 9.1 kt Β· gust 17.3 kt16:59 Β· avg 8.0 kt Β· gust 14.6 kt17:09 Β· avg 12.0 kt Β· gust 17.8 kt17:19 Β· avg 14.4 kt Β· gust 22.1 kt17:29 Β· avg 13.5 kt Β· gust 24.3 kt17:39 Β· avg 13.7 kt Β· gust 20.0 kt17:49 Β· avg 13.5 kt Β· gust 21.6 kt17:59 Β· avg 11.8 kt Β· gust 20.5 kt18:09 Β· avg 12.4 kt Β· gust 36.2 kt18:10 Β· avg 18.9 kt Β· gust 24.8 kt18:37 Β· avg 8.4 kt Β· gust 11.9 kt19:06 Β· avg 4.9 kt Β· gust 6.5 kt
avg wind gust ignition (8 kt) session (11 kt)

NO GO

LI -3.2 β€” thunderstorm risk destroys the thermal

For May 31, 2026.

Last 30 days

Forecast
Actual (session β‰₯ 1 h)
Sat May 2 Sun May 31
session (β‰₯ 1 h β‰₯ 11 kt) marginal (β‰₯ 1 h β‰₯ 8 kt) no wind no data
Previous forecast method

How the day was forecast at the time, before the rules were recalibrated β€” shown for comparison only.

RuleSignalReason
Pressure gradient (Munich βˆ’ Innsbruck)? no_go Ξ”=-2.0 hPa β€” pressure gradient pushing against the thermal
FΓΆhn (Bolzano βˆ’ Innsbruck)? go no FΓΆhn pressure signature (Ξ”=-1.3 hPa)
Overnight cooling? go clear night: 53% cloud cover
Solar radiation? go peak solar radiation 816 W/mΒ² β‰₯ threshold
Dew-point spread? maybe dew-point spread 6.5Β°C β€” marginal
Boundary-layer height? go boundary layer 2615 m β€” deep mixing
Ground moisture / rain? go dry ground (soil moisture 0.22 mΒ³/mΒ³)
Atmospheric stability? no_go LI -3.2 β€” thunderstorm risk destroys the thermal
Daytime cloud cover? go 13% low cloud β€” slopes in full sun
Upper-level wind (850 / 700 hPa)? go upper wind from 257Β° @ 700 hPa 17 kt β€” neutral
Synoptic-flow override? go no overwhelming synoptic flow
Thermal ignition (live)? go ignited at Mittenwald/Obb.